ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
OHZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/19/08 1509Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1445Z
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LOCATION...S OHIO...W TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...S INDIANA...
LOCATION...S ILLINOIS...SE MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...
ATTN WFOS...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT...MOD RAINS AFFECTING HARD HIT FLOOD AREAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW HAS QUICKLY
EJECTED ACROSS TX AND IS NOW MOVING THROUGH NW AR TO T NE. WELL PRONOUNCED
DRY SLOT HAS DVLPD BEHIND THE FRNT WHICH STRETCHES UP INTO SE MO/W
TN/W KY. 12Z PW ANALYSIS ALONG WITH GOES SOUNDER INDICATE THE MOISTURE
AXIS STRETCHES NEWD FROM SE MS/SW AL TWDS PITTSBURGH/PA WITH SOME OF THE
MOISTURE STILL WRAPPING AROUND TWDS THE UPPER LOW INVOF WRN TN/W KY/S IL/S
MO. PW VALUES OF UP TO 1.2" NEARLY REACH THE OH/PA BORDER AS STRONG 850MB
FLOW OF 50-70 KTS PULL THE GULF MOISTURE NWD ALONG WITH SUBSTANTIAL WAA.
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SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES A SFC LOW IN NE MS..THOUGH IT IS ON THE ERN EDGE
OF THE DRY SLOT..LOW LEVEL WRAP AROUND FLOW IS STILL ALLOWING FOR MOD
MOISTURE TO BE PULLED INTO W TN/W KY. WITH THE INSTABILITY IN THE AREA
DUE TO THE SFC LOW..VERY WARM TOPPED CELLS HAVE FORMED WHICH WILL BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF LIKELY MOD RAINFALL TO W/N CENTRAL TN AND WRN KY. VIS
IMAGERY IS BEGINNING TO INDICATE INCREASINGLY HEAVIER RAINS TO THE NW AND
N IN SE MO/S IL AS THE ENTIRE SYSTEM LIFTS TO THE NE. BELIEVE THESE WARM
TOP CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOD RAINS ACROSS THE RAIN SOAKED AREAS
OF SE MO/S IL/S IN/ W KY OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HRS. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
DOES SEEM TO BE WEAKENING THOUGH AS THE FRNT PUSHES FARTHER AWAY FROM
THE UPPER LOW.
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THERE HAS ALSO BEEN AN AREA FROM CENTRAL KY NEWD TO SW WV WHERE WARM TOP
CELLS..BETWEEN -45 TO -49C..HAVE TRAINED OVER THE PAST FEW HRS. THOUGH
NOT NEARLY AS HARD HIT AS THE AREAS TO W AND NW..3 HR AUTOMATED ESTIMATES
ENDING 1430Z INDICATE A THIN STRIPE OF 0.5" RAINFALL FROM LINCOLN COUNTY
KY TO MASON COUNTY WV WITH A MAX OF 1" OVER MADISON/CLARK COUNTIES IN
KY. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHICS IN ABOUT 10 MIN.

SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4005 8245 3832 8304 3560 8905 3724 9069 3983 8541
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