ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES CAZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/26/08 1939Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1930Z KUSSELSON NOAA AMSU:1302Z/1443Z DMSP SSMI:1252Z/1332Z/1434Z/1514Z NASA TRMM:1350-1524Z . LOCATION...CALIFORNIA... . ATTN WFOS...SGX...HNX...LOX...MTR... ATTN RFCS...CNRFC... . EVENT...LITTLE SLOWER BEGINNING TO LIGHT PRECIP...BUT EXPECT QUICK DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT FOR INCREASED FF THREAT... . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...PROCESS OF GRADUAL MOISTENING OF MID/HIGH LEVEL OF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER S AND CENTRAL CA GOING ON. LEADING EDGE OF MODERATE MOISTURE ALREADY MAKING TO ISLANDS OFFSHORE. DEEPER 0.75" PW MOISTURE NOW CAN BE SEEN ON VIS LIFTING NORTH AND WILL GO MOSTLY INTO CONTINUING TO MOISTEN MID LEVEL AND HELP DEVELOP THE LOW LEVEL MOISTENING PROCESS. THIS CYCLING OF MOISTENING WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT NOT EXPECTING MUCH PRECIP BEFORE 00Z...BUT BY THEN MOISTENING WILL BE WELL UNDERWAY AT THE LOW LEVELS. ACTUALLY A LITTLE DELAY OF THE PRECIP START JUST GIVES UPPER LOW MORE TIME TO DIG SOUTH/SE AND AS A RESULT PULL UP EVEN MORE SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF FRONTAL BAND BECOMING MORE ORIENTED N-S AND WILL BE TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FRONTAL BAND PW MOISTURE RUNNING ABOUT 0.8"-1.0" AND COMBINED WITH SUBTROPICAL PW MOISTURE OF 1.5" AS FAR NORTH AS 27/28N OFF BAJA AND 1.0" JUST OFF FAR N BAJA WILL MAKE FOR A QUICKLY EVOLVING HEAVY PRECIP EVENT TONIGHT. BY THE WAY...THE TRMM 1524Z PASS SHOWED MAX RAIN RATES OF 0.65"/HR 26.5N/119.5W ASSOCIATED WITH COOLING TOPS WITH THE SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE. FIRST BATCH OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE 32.5N/119W TO 34N/122W LIFTING NORTH THE BEST TOWARD CENTRAL CA COAST. LEADING EDGE OF LUMPIER-LOOPING ON VIS/DEEPER SUBTROPICAL AS FAR NORTH NOW AS 32W HAS RAIN WITH IT ON MICROWAVE DATA AND THIS WILL FURTHER MOISTEN ATMOSPHERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OFF S AND CENTRAL CA COAST. AND MOST THAT SNOW ON GOES VIS IMAGES IN MOUNTAINS THAT WILL MELT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT AT WEB SITE ADDRESS BELOW... . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3640 12109 3283 11682 3192 11774 3540 12199 . NNNN