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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/27/08 2020Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 2000Z  HANNA
                DMSP SSMI 1500Z
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LOCATION...NEW MEXICO...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN EVENT WITH HEAVY SNOW ABOVE 7000-8000 FT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LARGE SCALE PICTURE SHOWS THAT UPPER
LOW THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY OFF THE CA COAST HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY SHEARED
OUT OVER THE PAST 6-12 HRS AHEAD OF THE HEIGHT FALLS DROPPING SE OUT OF
THE NE PACIFIC.  THE BEST HEIGHT FALLS OUT OF THE REMNANT UPPER LOW HAVE
BEEN CONTINUOUSLY LIFTING NE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND WITH THAT HAVE
SEEN LITTLE IF ANY MOVEMENT TO THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME
AND ASSOCIATED SUBTROPICAL JET THAT EXTENDS FROM THE PACIFIC INTO THE
FOUR-CORNERS REGION.
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LATEST DMSP SSMI PASS (1500Z) SHOWS THAT A +4 STANDARD DEVIATION MOISTURE
PLUME WAS COINCIDENT WITH AFOREMENTIONED WV PLUME AND EXTENDING INTO
THE SW.  COMPOSITE GOES SOUNDER/POES MICROWAVE AND GPS PRECIPITABLE
WATER ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE APPROXIMATE LEADING EDGE OF THE 1.0"+
PRECIPITABLE WATERS WAS RUNNING FROM EXTREME SE CA AND THEN EXTENDING
SE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE MOGOLLON RIM.
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IT APPEARS THAT ANY SIGNIFICANT MOVEMENT TO DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE PLUME
WILL NEED TO WAIT UNTIL LAST PIECE OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY NEAR 30N/125W IS
EJECTED BY UPSTREAM KICKER.  THIS SHOULD ENSURE THAT HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD
CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 3-6HRS WITH 40-50KT 70H VWP INDICATED
WINDS HELPING TO FOCUS BEST RAINFALL ALONG THE RIM.  WOULD EXPECT 6
HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS AROUND 1.0" WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN FAVORED
TERRAIN.  SNOW ELEVATIONS SHOULD EVENTUALLY LOWER WITH MID LEVEL COOLING
AS REMNANT TROF IS EJECTED.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3678 11301 3667 11237 3635 11188 3566 11171 3523 11088
3469 10967 3386 10903 3285 10941 3196 10972 3184 11082
3234 11141 3318 11261 3386 11385 3528 11417 3612 11400
3673 11356
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