ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NMZ000-AZZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/04/08 2110Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 2100Z		DS
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LOCATION...W NEW MEXICO...E/SE ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...ABQ...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY SNOWS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS WELL DEFINED BAROCLINIC
LEAF FEATURE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING OVER ERN AZ AS AN UPPER LVL TROF DIGS
INTO THE SWRN US...NOW REACHING MX. STRONG S/WV ENERGY CAN BE SEEN IN
THE BASE OF THE TROF WHICH HAS LED TO THE COOLING CLOUD TOPS OVER THE
ERN/SERN PARTS OF THE STATE WITH THE INCREASED LIFT. GOES SOUNDER/GPS
INDICATES PW VALUES OF AROUND A 0.25-0.3" BUT ARE LIKELY A LITTLE
HIGHER..ESPECIALLY ACROSS SERN AZ AS CLOUDS OBSCURE MUCH OF THE AREA WHERE
PRECIP IS FALLING AND SOME DWPTS ARE IN THE HIGH 30S-LOW 40S. SATL WINDS
INDICATE SWRLY MID/HIGH LVL FLOW ACROSS ERN AZ DIRECTING MOISTURE INTO
THE ERN PART OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND THE WHITE MTNS. THOUGH SFC WINDS
SEEM TO BE A BIT MORE ERRATIC..SEEMS THE LOW LVL WINDS ARE STARTING TO
WRAP AROUND A FORMING SFC LOW IN CENTRAL AZ JUST S OF KFLG PER ANALYSIS
OF VIS IMAGERY FOLLOWING LOW LVL CLOUD MOVEMENT. DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH
ALGORITHM INDICATES BEST RUC UVM OVER THE ABOVE MENTIONED MTN AREAS WITH
CLOUD TOPS AROUND 650-680MB. HVY SNOW WAS RECENTLY OCCURRING AT KSJN
AND LIKELY OTHER MTN AREAS THOUGH WARMING SFC TEMPS MAY END ANY THREAT
WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS AS THE BAROCLINIC LEAF WILL BE MOVING EWD INTO
NM. STILL THOUGH..COULD SEE SNOW RATES IN HIGHER ELEV. OF 1"/HR OR HIGHER.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3503 11125 3438 10812 3308 10948 3408 11150
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