ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES TTAA00 KNFD DDHHMM . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/23/04 1010Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 VALUES ARE MAX OR SGFNT EST. OROGRAPHIC CORRECTION IN AUTO-ESTS.. EST'S FM:/GO S12-CNTRL AND E. U.S./GOES10-W. U.S... LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0745Z KUSSELSON NASA TRMM: 0740Z DMSP SSMI: 0138-0215 NOAA AMSU: 0507-0655Z . LOCATION...S LOUISIANA...EXT E TEXAS... . ATTN...WFO/RFC...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...LMRFC...WGRFC . EVENT...TRAP FOR IVAN SAYS 3-6 INCHES CAN FALL SW LA/TX BORDER AREA... . CURRENT SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST TRMM PASS AT 0740Z HAD A 1.75" INSTANTANEOUS RAIN RATE JUST SOUTH OF S CENTRAL LA COAST NEAR CENTER OF IVAN. THIS RELATES WELL WITH SUPER COLD TOP (-76C) CELL THAT HAS BEEN DRIFTING W/NW WITH CENTER OF IVAN WITH MODERATE RAIN RATES FALLING COASTAL S CENTRAL LA. NOT EXPECTING MUCH PROBLEMS IN SHORT TERM AS IVAN CONTINUES WNW...BUT LATEST OPERATION NESDIS TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (TraP) SAYS YOU CAN EXPECT 3-6 INCHES IN A 24HR PERIOD ACROSS SW LA INTO EXT E TX IF IVAN HOLD TOGETHER. SEE HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT PS/TROP FOR DETAILS AND HPC 24HR PRODUCT FOR OFFICIAL GUIDANCE PRODUCT. SLIGHT CHANCE DRY AIR AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF STORM COULD TEMPER THESE AMOUNTS BUT FEEL CONFIDENCE THAT PW VALUES OF 2.3" SEEN FROM MICROWAVE DATA ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF IVAN WILL QUICKLY MOISTEN UP AREAS THAT IVAN/S CENTER APPROACHES. GOES 3HR HYDROESTIMATOR AMOUNTS REPORTING 2.2"/3HRS ENDING 0945Z JUST SOUTH OF S CENTRAL LA COAST...UNFORTUNATELY GRAPHICAL PRODUCT NOT AVAILABLE ON HOME PAGE AT THIS TIME. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR... . 1 HOUR HYDRO-ESTIMATOR TOTALS ARE ON AWIPS UNDER 1 HOUR AUTO SPE. . EFFECTIVE SEPTEMBER 1 2004...THE HEADER IDENTIFICATION FOR THIS PRODUCT WILL CHANGE FROM KWBC TO KNES. . ....NESDIS SAB HAS BEEN ADDED TO 12 PLANET.... . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT PS/PCPN... [ONLINE SSD PRECIP PRODUCT INDEX] . LAT...LON 3110 9300 3200 8800 3000 8800 2900 9300 NNNN