ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/04/07 0004Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2345Z	DS
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LCH...SHV...HGX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...TAIL END OF MCS NOT SHOWING MUCH MOVEMENT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SHORTWAVE SPOKEN ABOUT IN EARLIER SPENES
HAS SET OFF MCS OVER SERN TX AND HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH THE
HEAVIEST RAIN CORES CONTINUING TO TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS FOR THE PAST
40-50 MIN. COOLING CLOUD TOPS ON SRN END OF MCS INDICATE BACKBUILDING
ALONG THE TX COAST WITH THE TAIL END JUST NOW STARTING TO EDGE INTO N
WHARTON/S AUSTIN COUNTIES. MCS IS POSITIONED IN BASE OF UPPER LVL TROF
SHOWN WELL BY 400-100MB STLT WINDS. LOW/MID LVL WINDS ARE FROM THE SW PER
STLT WINDS/PROFILER DATA. HYDROESTIMATOR IS BEGINNING TO SHOW RAINFALL
AMOUNTS INCREASE ALONG THE LINE OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH BETWEEN 1.5-2"
ALONG MUCH OF THE LINE WHERE STORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO TRAIN ACROSS. WITH
LITTLE MOVEMENT NOTICED ALONG THE TAIL END..EXPECT VERY HVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS THERE UNTIL THE MCS BEGINS TO MOVE NEWD AGAIN. OVERSHOOTING TOPS
ARE SEEN ON VIS IMAGERY FROM SE AUSTIN TO LIBERTY COUNTY AND THIS SHOULD
BE WHERE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER NEXT 2-3HRS. GOES SOUNDER
INDICATES PW VALUES OF 1.8" INVOF THE TAIL END OF THE MCS SO RAINFALL
WILL BE VERY EFFICIENT..IF IT STAYS OVER ONE SPOT..RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3-5" COULD BE POSSIBLE. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 5-10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3128 9398 3008 9379 2923 9546 2951 9607
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