ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/08/07 1225Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1145Z  GOES-11 1200Z  ALS
HYDROESTIMATOR THOUGH 1200Z
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LOCATION...TEXAS...NEW MEXICO...
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ATTN WFOS...LUB...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...TWIN CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEVERAL FACTORS POINTING TO A HEAVY RAIN
EVENT. GOES PWS JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA ARE 1.10-12.0 WHICH
ARE CLOSE TO 200% OF NORMAL. MCIDAS OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOWS STRONG
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE CENTERED ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. AN ALGORITHM
RUN OF THE 1045Z SHOWS A  MAXIMUM  300MB  UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE CENTERED
OVER THE AREA.  INFRARED LOOP SHOWS ONE COMPLEX WITH CLOUDTOP TEMPS COLDER
THAN -66C MOVED FROM CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY THROUGH NORTHERN LEA COUNTY INTO
YOAKIM COUNTY. ESTIMATED RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THIS CELL ARE 1-2 INCHES.
A 2ND COMPLEX WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY WARMER CLOUDTOPS IS MOVING FROM EASTERN
OTERO/CHAVES COUNTY INTO WESTERN EDDY COUNTY. RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THIS
COMPLEX ARE ESTIMATED TO BE .5-1.5 INCHES. THIS 2ND COMPLEX CONTINUES
TO DEVELOP WITH LATEST IMAGE COOLING TO -67C. THUS TOTALS FROM THE 2
COMPLEXES COMBINED COULD BE 3 INCHES OR MORE. OF FURTHER CONCERN IS NEW
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER WEST IN OTERO COUNTY WHICH COULD AFFECT THE SAME AREA.


SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3352 10261 3231 10227 3180 10560 3304 10581
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