WWPN20 KNES 040342
SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN
MTSAT VIS/IRDAY WEST PACIFIC OCEAN 
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OCTOBER 04 2006  0233Z                                   
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17.4N 131.6E     T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS          BEBINCA (19W)
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PAST POSITIONS...18.3N 131.4E   03/1433Z      IRNIGHT
                 15.0N 130.8E   03/0233Z      VIS/IRDAY
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REMARKS...BEBINCA IS A VERY ELONGATED SYSTEM FROM SSW TO NNE AND
MAY ACTUALLY HAVE TWO LLCS WITH EACH POCKET OF DEEP CONVECTION.
THIS FIX IS A REPOSITION TO THE SOUTH BASED ON VIS LOOP AND QSCAT
PASS.  FIX IS ON THE CIRCULATION SPIT OUT OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION...AND IT IS LOCATED ABOUT .75 DEGREES FROM THE DEEP
CONVECTION FOR A DT OF 2.5.  UW-CIMSS SHEAR MAGNITUDE OF 12.5 M/S
SUPPORTS USAGE OF SHEAR METHOD.  PT IS 2.5 AND MET IS STEADY AT
2.5. FT IS 2.5 BASED ON DT. 
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POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
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21.9N 153.0E     ST2.5/2.5/D1.5/24HRS        RUMBIA (97W)
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PAST POSITIONS...20.6N 153.1E  03/1433Z      IRNIGHT
                 20.0N 154.0E  03/0233Z      VIS/IRDAY
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REMARKS...PATTERN OF RUMBIA IS VERY SIMILAR TO ST2.5F ON VISIBLE
IMAGERY EXAMPLES ON HEBERT-POTEAT METHOD OF SUBTROPICAL
CLASSIFICATIONS.  A ST CLASSIFICATION IS SUPPORTED BY LACK OF
DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND A LARGE BAND WELL TO THE EAST
OF THE LLC.  DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE NEAR THE
CENTER BUT THERE IS NOT A ST2.0 IN THE H-P TECHNIQUE...SO THE FT
IS ST2.5 BASED ON H-P PT 2.5F.  
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THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE AVAILABLE BY 04/1000Z.
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FOR AREAL DISPLAY OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SEE OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML
ALL LOWER CASE LETTERS EXCEPT PS/TROP    
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GALLINA
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