WWPS20 KNES 021040 SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN - CORRECTION SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN MTSAT IRNIGHT . FEBRUARY 2 2007 0833Z . 15.0S 138.0E T2.0/2.5/W05./06HRS 95S . PAST POSITIONS...12.4S 139.9E 02/2033Z VIS/IRDAY 11.9S 137.7E 02/0833Z IRNIGHT . REMARKS...LLCC WITH SYSTEM IS QUITE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE. WHILE EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 01/2050Z SHOWED WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION NEAR 13S140E MORE RECENT AMSU AND AMSRE MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 05-07Z SUGGEST A POSITION MUCH FURTHER SOUTH NEAR 14.5-15.0S. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY 06Z SHIP REPORT WITH WEST WIND NEAR 14.1S138E. SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION IS ALSO FURTHER SOUTH NEAR THIS LOCATION. . SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED SOMEWHAT PAST 6 HOURS AS CONVECTION HAS DECREASED. WHILE SYSTEM IS EXHIBITING SOME EASTERLY SHEAR HAVE NOT USED SHEAR PATTERN FOR DT SINCE THIS WOULD GIVE WHAT IS FELT TO BE A TOO HIGH T3.0. DT=2.5 BASED ON 4.5 TENTHS BANDING. PT=2.0. FT=2.0 BASED ON PT. . POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI. . . 10.6S 175.2E T2.0/2.0/D1.0/06HRS 96P . PAST POSITIONS...09.9S 176.6E 02/0233Z VIS/IRDAY NEWLY DEVELOPED DISTURBANCE . REMARKS...DEEP CONVECTION WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER LLCC FOR 6-12 HRS. OVERALL PATTERN EXHIBITING GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH WITH SOME MODEST NORTHERLY SHEAR. 4 TENTHS BANDING GIVES DT=2.5. PT=2.5 AND MET=1.5. FT=2.0 BASED ON BLEND. . POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI. . THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 02/1600Z. . FOR AREAL DISPLAY OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SEE OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML ALL LOWER CASE LETTERS EXCEPT PS/TROP . RUMINSKI . NNNN