WWPS20 KNES 021040
SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN - CORRECTION
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN MTSAT IRNIGHT
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FEBRUARY 2 2007  0833Z    
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15.0S 138.0E     T2.0/2.5/W05./06HRS   95S
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PAST POSITIONS...12.4S 139.9E    02/2033Z   VIS/IRDAY
                 11.9S 137.7E    02/0833Z   IRNIGHT
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REMARKS...LLCC WITH SYSTEM IS QUITE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE. WHILE
EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 01/2050Z SHOWED WELL DEFINED
CIRCULATION NEAR 13S140E MORE RECENT AMSU AND AMSRE MICROWAVE
IMAGERY FROM 05-07Z SUGGEST A POSITION MUCH FURTHER SOUTH NEAR
14.5-15.0S. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY 06Z SHIP REPORT WITH WEST WIND
NEAR 14.1S138E. SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION IS ALSO
FURTHER SOUTH NEAR THIS LOCATION. 
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SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED SOMEWHAT PAST 6 HOURS AS
CONVECTION HAS DECREASED. WHILE SYSTEM IS EXHIBITING SOME
EASTERLY SHEAR HAVE NOT USED SHEAR PATTERN FOR DT SINCE THIS
WOULD GIVE WHAT IS FELT TO BE A TOO HIGH T3.0. DT=2.5 BASED ON
4.5 TENTHS BANDING. PT=2.0. FT=2.0 BASED ON PT.   
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POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
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10.6S 175.2E     T2.0/2.0/D1.0/06HRS   96P
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PAST POSITIONS...09.9S 176.6E    02/0233Z   VIS/IRDAY
                 NEWLY DEVELOPED DISTURBANCE
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REMARKS...DEEP CONVECTION WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES
HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER LLCC FOR 6-12 HRS. OVERALL PATTERN
EXHIBITING GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH WITH SOME MODEST
NORTHERLY SHEAR. 4 TENTHS BANDING GIVES DT=2.5. PT=2.5 AND
MET=1.5. FT=2.0 BASED ON BLEND.
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POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI.
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THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 02/1600Z.      
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FOR AREAL DISPLAY OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SEE OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML
ALL LOWER CASE LETTERS EXCEPT PS/TROP
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RUMINSKI
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