WWPS20 KNES 031025 SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN MTSAT IRNIGHT . FEBRUARY 3 2007 0833Z . 15.1S 137.8E T1.5/2.5/W1.0/12HRS 95S . PAST POSITIONS...14.2S 137.5E 02/2033Z VIS/IRDAY 15.0S 138.0E 02/0833Z IRNIGHT . REMARKS...FULLY EXPOSED LLCC AS DEEP CONVECTION RAPIDLY DISSIPATED AND SHEARED TO THE WEST. FT/CI BASED ON WEAKENING CONSTRAINTS. . POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI. . . 13.4S 176.2E T2.0/2.5/S0.0/24HRS 96P . PAST POSITIONS...12.2S 175.7E 02/2033Z VIS/IRDAY 10.6S 175.2E 02/0833Z IRNIGHT . REMARKS...LOW CONFIDENCE IN POSITION WITH SYSTEM. POSITION BASED ON CONTINUITY AND PLACEMENT NEAR UPWIND EDGE OF COLD CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS IN MODEST SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER..CENTER MAY BE LOCATED FURTHER SSW NEAR 15S 175.5E BASED ON WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION IN 0545Z QUIKSCAT PASS. 0654Z SSMI PASS SUPPORTS A FURTHER SOUTH POSITION WITH RELATIVE MIN WIND SPEED THAT AREA. CONVECTION HAS REMAINED ACTIVE AND WIDESPREAD. USING CURVED BAND PATTERN GIVES .55 BANDING FOR DT=2.5. MET AND PT AGREE AT 2.0. FT BASED ON MET AND PT. . POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NMI. . THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 03/1600Z. . FOR AREAL DISPLAY OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SEE OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML ALL LOWER CASE LETTERS EXCEPT PS/TROP . RUMINSKI . NNNN