WWIO21 KNES 010852 SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN METEOSAT-5 IR VIS/IRDAY . JANUARY 01 2007 0830Z . 17.7S 52.8E T4.0/4.0/D1.0/24HRS CLOVIS (06S) . PAST POSITIONS...16.2S 54.1E 31/2030Z IRNIGHT 14.4S 54.8E 31/0830Z VIS/IRDAY . REMARKS...BANDED EYE FEATURE DOMINATES THE VISIBLE IMAGE BUT NOT AS APPARENT IN THE EIR...THOUGH A SMALL WARM SPOT MIMICS THE EYE TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. STILL THE CONVECTION DOES WRAP CLOSE TO 1.0 ON LOG10 FOR A DT OF 4.0...BUT THE CONVECTION IS THIN AND THERE ARE QUITE A FEW AREAS OF EXPOSED LOW LEVEL BANDING WITH WARMING OF TOPS AND POTENTIAL FOR QUICK EROSION...SO A BIT NERVOUS. MET IS 4.0. FT IS 4.0 BASED ON DT. AGAIN IT COULD BE QUICK FALL FROM MAX INTENSITY NOW WITH JUST A BIT MORE DRY AIR OR SHEAR. . POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NMI. . NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 01/1600Z. . FOR AREAL DISPLAY OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SEE OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML ALL LOWER CASE LETTERS EXCEPT PS/TROP . GALLINA . NNNN