WWIO21 KNES 022132

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (98S)

B.  02/2030Z

C.  15.7S

D.  108.6E

E.  FIVE/MTSAT

F.  T1.0/1.0/S0.0/24HRS

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR/TRMM

H.  REMARKS...1811Z TRMM SUGGESTS CIRCULATION IS DISSIPATING.  A CLOSED
CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO DISCERN IN ANIMATED SW IR WHILE TRMM
PROVIDES SOME SUGGESTION OF A POSITION FARTHER WEST THAN IS INDICATED
HERE.  FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS WHICH PRECLUDES WEAKENING DURING
NIGHTTIME HOURS DURING FIRST 48 HOURS OF DEVELOPMENT BUT SYSTEM MAY BE
DROPPED AT 0230Z WHEN VIS IS AVAILABLE. ~TURK