TXIO21 KNES 070841


A.  05B (JAL)

B.  07/0830Z

C.  12.5N

D.  81.0E

E.  THREE/MET-7

F.  T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24HRS

G.  IR/EIR/VIS

H.  REMARKS...AS JAL APPROACHES INDIAN COAST... THE OVERALL CDO HAS
SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED/WARMED EXPOSING THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION.
A NEW BURST OF CONVECTION IS 50 KM FROM THE LLC FOR A DT OF 3.0 BUT
CONSIDERING THE SIZE OF THE BURST DOES NOT REACH MINIMUM SIZE CRITERIA FOR
USING THE SHEAR METHOD AND LARGER PORTION OF THE OTHER DEEP CONVECTION
IS ABOUT 1 DEGREE AWAY MAKES THE DT UNRELIABLE. CONVECTIVE TREND IS
WEAKENING SLOWLY FOR MET OF 2.5. PT AGREES. FT BASED ON MET.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...GALLINA