TXIO21 KNES 100845
TCSNIO

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (98A)

B.  10/0830Z

C.  19.2N

D.  71.0E

E.  FIVE/MET-7

F.  T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24HRS

G.  IR/EIR/VIS/TMI

H.  REMARKS...STRONG SWLY FLOW FROM SOMALI JET IS IMPACTING ALONG SOUTHERN
SIDE OF ELONGATED BUT CLEARLY CLOSED LLC FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS MAINTAINING
CONVECTION AND LOW PRESSURE. ELONGATION HAS LEAD TO BANDING OF .35 FOR
DT OF 2.0 OR IRREGULAR CDO PATTERN FOR DT OF 2.0 OR 2.5. MET SHOWS SLOW
DEVELOPMENT FOR 2.0. PT IS 2.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.  POSITION ACCURATE
TO WITHIN 40 NM (74 KM). EXPECTATION GIVEN INCREASING SWLY FLOW IS FOR
LLC TOO CONTINUE TO ELONGATE AND SHEAR OUT BACK INTO E-W MONSOON TROF.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    10/0344Z 19.6N 71.1E TMI


...GALLINA