TXIO29 KNES 052105
TCSNIO

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (96A)

B.  05/2030Z

C.  10.2N

D.  66.1E

E.  FIVE/MET-9

F.  T1.5/1.5/D0.5/24HRS

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR

H.  REMARKS...GREAT UNCERTAINTY IN PRECISE CENTER LOCATION. ASCAT
DATA FROM 1730Z SUGGESTED A CENTER FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS FIXES
WHILE 1556Z TRMM IMAGE HINTED AT A MID LEVEL CENTER FARTHER NORTH NEAR
11.4N66E. ANIMATED SWIR SUGGESTS THAT THE CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED E-W
WITH THE CENTER LESS THAN 3/4 DEGREE TO THE SE OF  NEWLY DEVELOPING DEEP
CONVECTION WHICH IS STRUGGLING AGAINST EASTERLY SHEAR.  DT IS RESTRICTED
TO A 2.0 BECAUSE THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LESS THAN THE
1.5 DEGREES NEEDED FOR A DT OF 2.5 OR GREATER USING THE SHEAR PATTERN. MET
AND PT ARE 1.5. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN CENTER LOCATION THE FT IS BASED
ON MET.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...TURK