TXPN21 KNES 032245 CCA
SIMWIR

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95W)

B.  03/2033Z

C.  11.0N

D.  134.3E

E.  FIVE/MTSAT

F.  T1.5/1.5/D0.5/06HRS

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR/SSMI

H.  REMARKS...CORRECTION FOR POSITION BASED ON NEW MICROWAVE PASS. VERY
GOOD MI PASS CLEARLY SHOWS WELL DEFINED LLC WELL SE OF CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
AND WELL SE OF MIDLEVEL CIRCULATION/PRIOR CENTER.  STILL CONVECTION
IS ABOUT 1.25 DEGREES FROM CENTER FOR DT OF 1.5. MET IS 2.0. PT IS
1.5. NOW WITH BETTER ESTIMATE OF CENTER LOCATION FT IS BASED ON DT.
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 40 NM (74 KM).

OLD COMMENTS...OVERALL SYSTEM HAS LOST MUCH OF THE CONCENTRIC/CIRCULAR
LOOK AND APPEARS TO BE OPENING BACK INTO A WEAK LOW ON THE TAIL END OF A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND WAS VERY CLOSE TO USING SUBTROPICAL CLASSIFICATION
METHOD UNTIL VERY LARGE CONVECTIVE BURST OCCURRED TO THE SE OF A MIDLEVEL
CIRCULATION THAT CAN BE TRACKED ON SWIR.  THIS CONVECTIVE BURST IS .75
DEGREES FROM CENTER POSITION FOR A DT OF 2.5. MET SHOWS SLOW DEVELOPMENT
FROM 24HRS AGO CONVECTIVELY BUT NOT IN LOW LEVEL  ORGANIZATION FOR A
MET OF 2.0 AND SO IS CONSIDERED UNRELIABLE. PT IS 1.5.  AS THERE IS NO
CONFIDENCE IN CENTER LOCATION...SHEAR METHOD AND DT IS UNRELIABLE AS
SUCH FT IS BASED ON PT.  POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM (185 KM).

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    03/1944Z 10.9N 134.1E SSMI


...GALLINA