TXPQ25 KNES 162115
TCSWNP

A.  03W (BAVI)

B.  16/2032Z

C.  15.1N

D.  136.9E

E.  FIVE/MTSAT

F.  T1.5/2.5/W1.5/12HRS

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR/AMSR2/GMI/AMSU/SSMI

H.  REMARKS...WELL DEFINED MIDLEVEL CENTER IS FORMED A CURL THAT
APPEARS TO OUTPACED THE LLC WHICH IS ESTIMATED FURTHER WEST BASED ON
LOWER LEVEL WARM CU BANDS SEEN IN SWIR LOOP.  STILL VERY LOW CONFIDENCE
IN CENTER... AND NEARING DAY BREAK SHOULD PROVIDE EXCELLENT POSITION
CONFIDENCE SOON. CONVECTION HAS NEARLY COLLAPSED WITH A LIMITED WEAKLY
DEFINED BROKEN CONVECTIVE BAND.   SHEAR MATRIX METHOD IS LIKELY BETTER
FOR DT DETERMINATION.  PROXIMITY AND CIRCULATION DEFINITION ARE QUITE
GOOD...THE CONVECTION IS TOO SMALL TO BE GREATER THAN 2.0. SHEAR MATRIX
YIELDS 1.5. MET IS 1.0 FOR WEAKENING TREND. PT IS 1.5.  FT IS 1.5 BASED
ON DT. CI IS HELD AT 2.5 PER WEAKENING RULES.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    16/1624Z 14.8N 137.8E AMSR2
    16/1646Z 14.9N 137.9E GMI
    16/1716Z 15.0N 137.6E AMSU
    16/1735Z 15.0N 137.5E SSMI


...GALLINA