TXPZ22 KNES 300014
TCSENP

A.  21E (SERGIO)

B.  29/2345Z

C.  12.9N

D.  102.2W

E.  FIVE/GOES-E

F.  T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS

G.  IR/EIR/VIS

H.  REMARKS...2133Z SSMI AND 2206Z SSMIS SUGGEST THE CENTER MAY LIE
EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF THE ACTIVE DEEP CONVECTION. PBO THIS ASSERTION,
WHICH REPRESENTS A BREAK FROM CONTINUITY AND THE FORECAST TRACK, WHICH
IS FARTHER SOUTH AND WEST. IT IS NOTED THAT THE ACTIVE DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS NOT MOVED APPRECIABLY SINCE THE LAST
CLASSIFICATION SO PERHAPS THE CENTER IS REFORMING FARTHER SOUTH BENEATH
THE CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER. SYSTEM IS CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULARLY DEFINED
CLOUD LINES AND A CENTER BENEATH A LARGE COLD OVERCAST, WHICH RESULTS
IN A DT OF 2.0 USING THE SHEAR PATTERN. MET AND PT ARE 2.5. FT IS BASED
ON MET DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE CENTER LOCATION.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...TURK