TXPQ27 KNES 112116
TCSWNP

A.  11W (KROSA)

B.  11/2030Z

C.  24.6N

D.  138.3E

E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-8

F.  SUBTROPICAL

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR

H.  REMARKS...THIS ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR DATA. THE
DESIGNATION OF SUBTROPICAL IN THE CASE OF KROSA MERELY MEANS THAT THE
DVORAK TECHNIQUE CANNOT ADEQUATELY ASSESS THE ACTUAL INTENSITY. SINCE
09/1430Z THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ACTIVE DEEP
CONVECTION BY GREATER OR LESSER DEGREES. AS A RESULT DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY NUMBERS HAVE STEADILY FALLEN TO THE POINT WHERE THEY ASSESS
KROSA AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. OFFICIAL ESTIMATES OF WIND SPEED AND
PRESSURE FROM RSMC TOKYO AND JTWC ARE HIGHER AND LOWER, RESPECTIVELY,
THAN SAB DVORAK ESTIMATES. OBJECTIVE TECHNIQUES, WITH THE NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF THE ADT, ALSO SUGGEST THAT THE SYSTEM IS MORE INTENSE THAN
DVORAK ESTIMATES ALLOW. THEREFORE THIS WILL BE THE FINAL BULLETIN UNTIL
SUCH TIME AS SATELLITE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE CAN
BETTER ASSESS THE ACTUAL INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...TURK