FVXX20 KWBC 152200 VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED 2200 UTC 15 OCT 2000 BY THE WASHINGTON VAAC . GUAGUA PICHINCHA 00-192 ECUADOR 0011S 7836W . BACKGROUND: GUAGUA PICHINCHA ECUADOR (1502-02) SUMMIT HEIGHT 15695 FT (4784 M) . SOURCES OF INFORMATION: GOES-8 VISIBLE...INFRARED...AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. UPPER WINDS FORECAST FROM THE AVIATION MODEL. THE GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE REPORT. . ERUPTION DETAILS: ASH EMISSION AT 15/2119 UTC. . DETAILS OF ASH CLOUD: THE GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE REPORTED A SMALL ASH EMISSION FROM THE VOLCANO AT 15/2119 UTC. SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC SHOWS BROKEN CLOUDS IN THE AREA OBSCURING THE VIEW OF THE SUMMIT. THE ASH WAS REPORTED TO BE MOVING TO THE WEST AND WAS ESTIMATED TO BE AT OR BELOW FL190 BY THE GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE. IF ASH IS VISIBLE ON SUBSEQUENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AN UPDATE MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IMMEDIATELY. . TRAJECTORY: UPPER AIR PATTERNS SUGGEST ANY ASH FROM SUMMIT LEVEL TO FL190 WILL MOVE TO THE WEST AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. . OUTLOOK: SEE SIGMETS. . THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED BY 16/0400 UTC. . REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERY AND VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORIES OFTEN ACCOMPANIED BY A MAP DEPICTING ASH LOCATION ARE AVAILABLE AT INTERNET URL ADDRESS HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/VAAC/WASHINGTON.HTML (ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /VAAC/) . PLEASE REFER TO SIGMETS FOR CURRENT WARNINGS. . CLARK . NNNN