FVXX20 KWBC 141524
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 2004JAN14/1530Z VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA  1502-08
LOCATION: S0128W07826    AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 16480 FT (5023 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2004/047
                              
INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12 IMAGERY. GFS MODEL WINDS
FORECAST. GUAYAQUIL MWO SIGMET.

ERUPTION DETAILS: GAS AND ASH EMISSIONS.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 14/1445Z.

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL200 S0128W07826 - S0106W07744 -
S0122W07713 - S0142W07712 - S0142W07725 - S0128W07743 -
S0131W07818 - S0128W07826 IS MOVING SE 5-10 KNOTS.
               
FCST ASH CLOUD+6H:  NOT AVBL            
FCST ASH CLOUD+12H: NOT AVBL   
FCST ASH CLOUD+18H: NOT AVBL

REMARKS: ASH PLUME HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTENT OVER THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON VISIBLE IMAGERY.  THE ASH PLUME EXTENDS
OVER 75 NM EAST OF THE VOLCANO. OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS THE
PLUME LOOKS AS IF IT IS SHIFTING A BIT MORE SOUTH OF DUE
EAST AND GFS MODEL WINDS FORECAST THIS TREND TO CONTINUE. SO
WILL INDICATE ASH DIRECTION TO SE...AND GUAYAQUIL MWO SIGMET
INDICATED PILOT REPORT THAT MAX HEIGHT WAS TO FL190...SO
WILL MAKE IT FL200 TO BE CONSERVATIVE.  
 
NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2004JAN14/2130Z. 

NNNN"Attached Graphic Map Depicting Ash Only" 

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