FVXX20 KNES 070931
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20061207/0931Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: PAGAN 0804-17
LOCATION: N1807 E14548   AREA:
MARIANA.IS-C.PACIFIC

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 1870 FT (570 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/010

INFORMATION SOURCE: MTSAT. FY-2C. GFS WINDS.
MODIS-TERRA

ERUPTION DETAILS: ONGOING EMISSION OF GASES AND
LIGHT ASH SINCE 04/2133Z

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 07/0900Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: ASH NOT IDENTIFIABLE FROM
SATELLITE DATA. WINDS SFC/FL020 MOVING TO W 25
KNOTS.

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 07/1500Z 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 07/2100Z 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 08/0300Z 

REMARKS: DUE TO DARKNESS NO PLUME CAN BE SEEN IN
IMAGERY.  HOWEVER IN THE LAST VISIBLE IMAGERY A
FAINT NARROW PLUME COULD STILL BE SEEN MOVING
WEST OFF THE ISLAND AROUND 95NM BEFORE
DISSIPATING. LITTLE CHANGE IN PLUME DIRECTION IS
FORECAST OVER NIGHT.  EARLIER MODIS IMAGERY
SHOWED THE PLUME TO BE LIGHT BROWN CLOSE TO THE
ISLAND SO LIGHT ASH CONTENT IS CONFIRMED. 
...SWANSON

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20061207/1530Z