FVXX22 KNES 101643
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 2006FEB10/1642Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
LOCATION: N1642 W06210   AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/026

INFORMATION SOURCE: PIARCO MWO. GOES-12. GFS MODEL
WINDS. MONTSERRAT OBSERVATORY. SAN JUAN FIR

ERUPTION DETAILS: ONGOING ASH EMISSIONS

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 10/1545Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL100 N1808 W06534 - N1649
W06211 - N1638 W06212 - N1647 W06338 - N1652
W06423 - N1711 W06550 - N1748 W06610 - N1808
W06534 MOVING NW 5-10 KNOTS. SFC/FL060 N1656
W06358 - N1648 W06240 - N1548 W06334 - N1544
W06409 - N1645 W06421 - N1656 W06358 MOVING W
10-15 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 10/2200Z SFC/FL100 N1750
W06451 - N1737 W06414 - N1718 W06325 - N1649
W06211 - N1641 W06213 - N1652 W06358 - N1707
W06447 - N1737 W06514 - N1750 W06451 SFC/FL060
N1650 W06523 - N1649 W06403 - N1542 W06404 - N1552
W06542 - N1650 W06523 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 11/0400Z SFC/FL100 N1800
W06529 - N1708 W06302 - N1650 W06210 - N1638
W06211 - N1652 W06417 - N1714 W06534 - N1800
W06529 SFC/FL060 N1646 W06616 - N1644 W06551 -
N1613 W06548 - N1559 W06634 - N1637 W06655 - N1646
W06616 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 11/1000Z SFC/FL100 N1813
W06553 - N1723 W06345 - N1650 W06346 - N1716
W06605 - N1755 W06631 - N1813 W06553 SFC/FL060
N1641 W06840 - N1636 W06734 - N1619 W06746 - N1604
W06838 - N1641 W06840 

REMARKS: THE MONSERRAT OBSERVATORY INDICATES
ACTIVITY WITH THE VOLCANO HAS BEEN ONGOING FOR THE
PAST 20 HOURS.  ASH NOW EMITTING FROM THE VOLCANO
IS HEADING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST TO NEAR FL100. 
ASH NEAR PUERTO RICO IS BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE AND
MOST LIKELY THE HEIGHT OF IT WAS OVERESTIMATED. 
ITS NOW ESTIMATED TO NEAR FL100.  ASH CONTINUES TO
HEAD TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST FROM THE PREVIOUS
0900Z ERUPTION AND IS ESTIMATED TO FL060 BASED ON
RECENT INFORMATION.  CLOUDS ARE NOW MOVING INTO
THE VICINITY. ...KIBLER

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2006FEB10/2245Z

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