FVXX22 KNES 161715
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 2006FEB16/1715Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
LOCATION: N1642 W06210   AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/049

INFORMATION SOURCE: PIARCO MWO. GOES-12. GFS MODEL
WINDS. MONTSERRAT OBSERVATORY. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: ONGOING ASH AND STEAM EMISSIONS

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 16/1615Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL070 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN
N1642 W06212 - N1632 W06301 - N1629 W06350. ASH IS
MOVING W 10-15 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 16/2230Z SFC/FL070 10NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1640 W06404 - N1640 W06302 - N1642
W06213. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 17/0430Z SFC/FL070 10NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1641 W06213 - N1632 W06301 - N1607
W06413. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 17/1030Z SFC/FL070 10NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1641 W06212 - N1634 W06317 - N1626
W06417. 

REMARKS: A NARROW PLUME OF ASH CONTINUES TO MOVE
TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST.  ASH IS ESTIMATED TO
FL070 MOVING AT 10-15 KTS.  FORECAST SHOWS THE
WESTWARD MOVMENT CONTINUING OVER THE NEXT 18
HOURS.  WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FULL EXTENT OF THE ASH. ...KIBLER

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2006FEB16/2315Z

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