FVXX20 KNES 292215
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20060829/2215Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
LOCATION: N1642 W06210   AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/471

INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. GFS WINDS. NAM
WINDS. MONTSERRAT OBSERVATORY. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: HIGHER ASH EMISSION AROUND 2140Z

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 29/2145Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL120 N1657 W06223 - N1657
W06203 - N1640 W06211 - N1657 W06223 MOVING N
10-15 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 30/0400Z SFC/FL120 N1822
W06058 - N1744 W06026 - N1632 W06202 - N1629
W06237 - N1737 W06304 - N1822 W06058 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 30/1000Z SFC/FL129 N1836
W06025 - N1758 W05958 - N1632 W06201 - N1605
W06305 - N1811 W06334 - N1836 W06025 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 30/1600Z 

REMARKS: THE VOLCANO OBSERVATORY CALLED TO SAY
THERE HAD BEEN A COLLAPSE OF THE DOME AND THAT
ASH WAS AT THE TIME TO BE AT LEAST TO FL100.  IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 2145Z A SMALL AREA OF ASH
CAN BE DETECTED MOVING BOTH NORTHWEST AND
NORTHEAST FROM THE VOLCANO AROUND 15 NM.  WINDS
FORECAST ARE VARIABLE SO THE ASH FORECAST IS
QUESTIONABLE.  WILL UPDATE AGAIN WHEN THE 00Z
GUADALOUPE SOUNDING BECOMES AVAILABLE.  ...SWANSON

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20060830/0415Z

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