FVXX20 KNES 291256
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20060929/1255Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
LOCATION: N1642 W06210   AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/585

INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. RADIOSONDE. PILOT
REPORT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS GAS AND ASH
EMISSIONS.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 29/1215Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL080 N2001 W06256 - N1959
W06219 - N1742 W06237 - N1643 W06210 - N1639
W06214 - N1733 W06303 - N2001 W06256 MOVING NW 10
KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 29/1830Z SFC/FL080 25NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N2029 W06325 - N1834 W06243.
SFC/FL080 25NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1809 W06331 -
N1641 W06210. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 30/0030Z SFC/FL080 25NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1752 W06345 - N1641 W06210. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 30/0630Z SFC/FL080 25NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1733 W06355 - N1641 W06210. 

REMARKS: FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A PILOT REPORT
INDICATE ASH HAS MOVED NORTH OF SAINT KITTS AND
NEVIS AND JUST EAST OF SAINT MARTIN AND ANGUILLA.
THE CURRENT ASH LOCATION IS NOT WELL REPRESENTED
BY GFS MODEL WINDS. WE EXPECT THAT THE ASH NORTH
OF SAINT KITTS WILL BECOME ENTRAINED IN A WEAK
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND DISSIPATE AFTER 6 HOURS. WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY AND SHIFT THE PLUME FROM
THE VOLCANO TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION. ...BANKS

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20060929/1900Z

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