FVXX20 KNES 162328
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20061016/2328Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
LOCATION: N1642 W06210   AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/656

INFORMATION SOURCE: PIARCO MWO. GOES-12. GFS
WINDS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: MINOR ASH ERUPTIONS.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 16/2245Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: ASH NOT IDENTIFIABLE FROM
SATELLITE DATA. WINDS SFC/FL070 MOVING TO N 5-10
KNOTS.

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 17/0500Z 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 17/1100Z 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 17/1700Z 

REMARKS: NO ASH OR HOTSPOT IS OBSERVED ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY.  HOWEVER, THE MWO REPORTED AN
ASH CLOUD ERUPTION WITH WINDS MOVING TO THE NORTH
AT 5-10 KTS.  THESE WINDS DO NOT MATCH THE GFS
MODEL FORECAST WINDS BUT SEEM REASONABLE DUE TO
THE LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL TROUGH TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE VOLCANO. ...BALDWIN

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20061017/0530Z