FVXX20 KNES 071254
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20070107/1254Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
LOCATION: N1642 W06210   AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2007/030

INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. GFS WINDS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: ONGOING ASH AND GAS EMISSIONS.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 07/1215Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL080 5NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN
N1642 W06212 - N1458 W06418. ASH IS MOVING SW
20-25 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 07/1830Z SFC/FL080 5NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1643 W06213 - N1510 W06422. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 08/0030Z SFC/FL080 5NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1643 W06213 - N1528 W06425. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 08/0630Z SFC/FL080 5NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1642 W06213 - N1551 W06431. 

REMARKS: MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A THIN 5-8
NMI WIDE ASH PLUME EXTENDING AT LEAST 155-160 NMI
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE VOLCANO.  MODEL WINDS
SUGGEST THAT THE PLUME MAY BECOME MORE WESTERLY
OVER THE NEXT 18 HOURS BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW THIS
WILL OCCUR DUE TO THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS. ...BALDWIN

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20070107/1900Z

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