FVXX20 KNES 201312
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20071020/1311Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 1502-08
LOCATION: S0128 W07826   AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 16480 FT (5023 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2007/688

INFORMATION SOURCE: GUAYAQUIL MWO. GOES-12. GFS
WINDS. GEOPHYSICAL INST. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: ASH LAST SEEN AT 20/1240Z.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 20/1245Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL290 S0121 W07826 - S0122
W07822 - S0129 W07825 - S0127 W07827 - S0121
W07826 MOVING NE 10-15 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 20/1900Z NO ASH EXP.

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 21/0100Z NOT AVBL.

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 21/0700Z NOT AVBL.

REMARKS: SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 20/1245Z SHOWS
POSSIBLE ASH MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST.  THE
GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE REPORTS ASH MOVING
NORTHEAST TO FL290.  NO FORECAST GIVEN DUE TO LOW
CONFIDENCE IN MODELS. ...KIBLER

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20071020/1915Z

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