FVXX21 KNES 030731
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20081203/0727Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
PSN: N1642 W06210

AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEV: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2008/076

INFO SOURCE: PIARCO MWO. GOES-12. GFS WINDS. NAM
WINDS. MONTSERRAT OBSERVATORY. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: ERUPTION AT 03/0135Z

OBS VA DTG: 03/0645Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL350 N1652 W06410 - N1531 W06313
- N1431 W06430 - N1610 W06527 - N1652 W06410 MOV
SW 20-30KT SFC/FL150 N1620 W06253 - N1547 W06156
- N1517 W06214 - N1542 W06320 - N1558 W06332 -
N1620 W06253 MOV S 5-10KT SFC/FL150 N1503 W06347
- N1341 W06145 - N1313 W06219 - N1428 W06428 -
N1503 W06347 MOV S 5-10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 03/1300Z SFC/FL350 N1617 W06728
- N1336 W06527 - N1303 W06655 - N1554 W06823 -
N1617 W06728 SFC/FL150 N1527 W06411 - N1411
W06220 - N1346 W06253 - N1447 W06449 - N1527
W06411 SFC/FL150 N1338 W06515 - N1137 W06328 -
N1128 W06350 - N1302 W06611 - N1338 W06515 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 03/1900Z SFC/FL350 N1559
W07040 - N1227 W06812 - N1201 W06910 - N1532
W07116 - N1559 W07040 SFC/FL150 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 04/0100Z SFC/FL350 N1528
W07251 - N1111 W07044 - N1105 W07135 - N1453
W07320 - N1528 W07251 

RMK: THE LATEST MODEL RUNS SHOWS ASH MOVING S TO
ESTIMATED FL150 AND MOVING WSW-SW TO FL350.  THERE IS
TWO AREAS OF ASH MOVING SOUTH WITH AREA FARTHEST FROM
VOLCANO BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE.  CLOUDS HAVE
MOVED INTO AREA MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO SEE IF
VOLCANO IS STILL ERUPTING. ASH HEIGHT CONFIDENCE IS
LOW. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20081203/1330Z

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