FVXX20 KNES 120847
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20130712/0847Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 1401-09
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2013/197

INFO SOURCE: MEXICO CITY MWO. GOES-13. GFS WINDS.
NAM WINDS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: EXHALATION AROUND 12/0801Z

OBS VA DTG: 12/0815Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL220 N1919 W09832 - N1913 W09819
- N1901 W09826 - N1859 W09840 - N1906 W09844 -
N1919 W09832 MOV  5-10 KTS 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 12/1430Z SFC/FL220 N2013 W09753
- N2001 W09744 - N1946 W09802 - N1953 W09813 -
N2002 W09806 - N2013 W09753 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 12/2030Z SFC/FL220 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 13/0230Z NO ASH EXP

RMK: VA EXTDS NEARLY 10 NM NE OF SUMMIT.  FCST
CONFIDENCE BEYOND +6 HRS IS LOW AS MODELS DO NOT
PROVIDE A STABLE SOLUTION. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20130712/1445Z
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