FVXX25 KNES 031611 VA ADVISORY DTG: 20151003/1611Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090 PSN: N1901 W09837 AREA: MEXICO SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M) ADVISORY NR: 2015/189 INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. RADIOSONDE. GFS WINDS. ECMWF WINDS. NAM WINDS. VOLCANO WEB CAMERA. ERUPTION DETAILS: VA SEEN ON WEBCAM ARND 03/1545Z. OBS VA DTG: 03/1600Z OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1904 W09843 - N1904 W09840 - N1900 W09841 - N1901 W09843 - N1904 W09843 MOV W 10-15KT FCST VA CLD +6HR: 03/2200Z SFC/FL200 NO ASH EXP FCST VA CLD +12HR: 04/0400Z NO ASH EXP FCST VA CLD +18HR: 04/1000Z NO ASH EXP RMK: SMALL VA EXHALATION SEEN MOV W FROM SUMMIT. RADIOSONDE INDICATES VA TO NEAR FL200. MODEL CONFIDENCE IS LOW AS THEY HAVE ANY VA MOV S-SSW. ...KIBLER NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20151003/2215Z