FVXX21 KNES 090420
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20170109/0420Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: COLIMA 341040
PSN: N1930 W10337

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 12631 FT (3850 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2017/047

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. MEXICO CITY MWO. GFS
WINDS. NAM WINDS. HYSPLIT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: EARLIER EM AT 08/2220Z AND NEW
EM ARND 09/0215Z.

OBS VA DTG: 09/0400Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL180 N1931 W10340 - N1928 W10337
- N1830 W10349 - N1719 W10429 - N1810 W10542 -
N1917 W10405 - N1931 W10340 MOV SW 15-20KT
SFC/FL250 N1916 W10339 - N1854 W10207 - N1818
W10120 - N1740 W10404 - N1916 W10339 MOV SE
15-20KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 09/1000Z SFC/FL180 N1905 W10425
- N1844 W10346 - N1537 W10440 - N1653 W10834 -
N1905 W10425 SFC/FL250 N1734 W10034 - N1632
W10008 - N1539 W10436 - N1643 W10416 - N1734
W10034 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 09/1600Z SFC/FL180 N1932
W10341 - N1929 W10337 - N1801 W10359 - N1844
W10506 - N1932 W10341 SFC/FL250 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 09/2200Z SFC/FL180 N1931
W10337 - N1800 W10357 - N1839 W10515 - N1931
W10337 

RMK: T+0 CONFIDENCE HIGH.   THE 08/2220Z VA EM
EXTDS 115 NM SW-S AND 125 NM S-SE OF VOLCANO.  THE
VA IS MOV FARTHER SE THAN PREVIOUS FCST.  NEW VA EM
AT 08/0215Z EXTDS 30 SSW-SW OF VOLCANO.   
FURTHER EMS CAN BE EXPECTED BASED ON RECENT ACT.
...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20170109/1015Z
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