FVXX21 KWBC 232020
.
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY STATEMENT 
ISSUED 2020 UTC 23 OCTOBER 1999 BY THE WASHINGTON VAAC 
.
TUNGURAHUA 99-022       ECUADOR 1.47S 78.44W 
.
BACKGROUND:    TUNGURAHUA ECUADOR (1502-08)
               SUMMIT HEIGHT 16480 FT (5023 M)
.
SOURCES OF INFORMATION: GOES-8 INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
...GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE...U.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NUMERICAL
WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS 
.
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VENTING OF ASH AND STEAM.
.
DETAILS OF ASH: SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOTED NEAR THE
VOLCANO SITE WHICH IS MAKING IT VERY DIFFICULT TO DETECT ANY
POSSIBLE ASH CLOUDS. THROUGH 1945 UTC NO ASH CLOUDS ARE OBSERVED IN
GOES 8 SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER THE LATEST SIGMET FROM THE
GUAYAQUIL MWO AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM SELT INDICATE ASH OVER
THE VOLCANO TO A HEIGHT OF FL220. THE GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE
CONTINUES TO REPORT THAT SEISMIC ACTIVITY REMAINS HIGH AND IT IS
LIKELY THAT THE VOLCANO WILL CONTINUE TO VENT ASH AND GASES.
. 
TRAJECTORY: NUMERICAL MODEL FORECASTS VALID AT 24/0000 UTC SUGGEST
THAT ANY ASH FROM THE SUMMIT TO FL220 WILL MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR
POSSIBLY NORTHWEST AT 20 KNOTS.
.
REAL TIME SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG WITH THIS AND OTHER VOLCANIC ASH
ADVISORY STATEMENTS OFTEN ACCOMPANIED BY A MAP DEPICTING ASH
LOCATION ARE AVAILABLE AT INTERNET URL ADDRESS  
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/washington.html
(all lower case except /VAAC/)
.
OUTLOOK:  SEE SIGMETS.
.
THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 24/0200 UTC.
.
PLEASE REFER TO SIGMETS FOR CURRENT WARNINGS.
.
ORRISON
.
NNNN