TXPQ25 KNES 211518
TCSWNP

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (99W)

B.  21/1432Z

C.  11.6N

D.  130.7E

E.  FIVE/MTSAT

F.  T1.5/1.5/D1.0/24HRS

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR/SSMIS

H.  REMARKS...MONSOON TROF HAS YET TO REALLY DEVELOP A CLOSED LLC AS
CURRENT CENTER ESTIMATE IS BASED ON CURVED BANDING FEATURES INTERSECTING
LONG E-W CONVERGENCE LINE /MONSOON TROF.  LARGE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TO THE
NORTH HAS A VERY IMPRESSIVE MIDLEVEL CIRCULATION AND BANDING STRUCTURE
AS WELL.  BANDING IS LIMITED BUT .2 OR .3 WITH WHITE AND YIELDS 1.5
THOUGH IF GENEROUS COULD BE 2.0. MET IS 1.5. PT IS 1.5. FT IS BASED ON
DT. IT IS CLEAR THAT THE INTENSITY/WINDS ARE LIKELY MUCH STRONGER THAN
THE DVORAK INTENSITY SCALE WILL PROVIDE FOR THIS STORM.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    21/0850Z 11.3N 131.2E SSMIS


...GALLINA