TXPQ29 KNES 202154
TCSWNP

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (98W)

B.  20/2032Z

C.  14.9N

D.  144.7E

E.  FIVE/MTSAT

F.  TOO WEAK

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR/VIS

H.  REMARKS...CIRCULATION TRACKED AS 98W COULD BE FOLLOWED ON 1400Z OSCAT
PASS USING AMBIGUITY ANALYSIS PASSING WESTWARD THROUGH THE MARIANAS
AROUND ROTA...THIS COULD ALSO BE SUPPORTED BY SFC WINDS FROM GUAM AND
SAIPAN AS WELL.  CONVECTION HAS REMAINED RELATIVELY PERSISTENT BUT VERY
DISORGANIZED WITH NO BANDING FOR DT LESS THAN 1.0. SYSTEM HAS SIMILAR
CONVECTIVE PATTERN AS YESTERDAY SO MET IS 1.0. PT IS LESS THAN 1.0. FT
IS LESS THAN 1.0 BASED ON DT AND LIKELIHOOD THE LOW LEVEL WIND STRUCTURE
HAS SHEARED OUT INTO THE BROADER TROF.  THIS WILL BE THE LAST BULLETIN
ON THIS CIRCULATION... BUT WITH CONSOLIDATION OF 91/98W SYSTEMS UNDER THE
98W ATCF FILE.  NEXT BULLETIN ON SYSTEM MAY BE UNDER PQ29 OR PQ21. PLEASE
CHECK BOTH AT 21/0232Z. I

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...GALLINA