FVXX21 KWBC 220045
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 2003FEB22/0045Z VAAC: WASHINGTON
 
VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 1401-09
LOCATION: N1901W09837    AREA: MEXICO
 
SUMMIT ELEVATION: 17930 FT (5465 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2003/039

INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-8 IMAGERY. GFS MODEL WINDS FORECAST
MEXICO CITY MWO SIGMET. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: NEW EXHALATION AT 22/0020Z.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 22/0015Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL300 5 NM WIDE LINE OF ASH EXTENDING BETWEEN
N1901W09837 N1902W0930 ASH IS MOVING EAST 50-60 KNOTS.

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: SEE SIGMETS

REMARKS: A VERY BRIGHT HOTSPOT WAS SEEN ON GOES-8 3.9 MICRO
CHANNEL AT 0015Z. THE CENAPRED VOLCANO CAMERA SHOWED THAT A NEW
ERUPTION WAS OCCURRING THRU 0035Z.  THE MEXICO CITY MWO INDICATED
THAT THE ASH WAS TO FL300 AND MOVING TO THE NE. GFS MODEL WINDS
ARE 45 KNOTS NEAR THE SUMMIT AND ABOUT 60 KNOTS AT THE MAXIMUM
ALTITUDE OF THE ASH COLUMN.  AT THIS TIME ASH CANNOT BE SEEN ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY BECAUSE THE NEW IMAGES ARE NOT AVAILABLE.  A
NEW VAA WILL BE ISSUED AS THE ASH CLOUD MOVES AWAY FROM THE
SUMMIT REGION MOST LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT 2 HOURS...GALLINA 

TO OBTAIN VAA FROM THE WASHINGTON VAAC EMAIL NOTIFICATION SEE THE
WEB PAGE http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/subscribe.html(ALL LETTERS
IN ADDRESS ARE IN LOWER CASE EXCEPT VAAC).  THE WASHINGTON VAAC
WILL MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO KEEP THE EMAIL NOTIFICATION UP AND
RUNNING.  HOWEVER IT IS NOT CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL METHOD OF
DISTRIBUTION.

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2003FEB22/0700Z

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"Attached Graphic Map Depicting Ash Only" 

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