FVXX20 KWBC 140111 VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED: 2003OCT14/0130Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 1502-08 LOCATION: S0128W07826 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEVATION: 16480 FT (5023 M) ADVISORY NUMBER: 2003/362 INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12 IMAGERY. GFS MODEL WINDS FORECAST. GUAYAQUIL MWO SIGMET. ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUED ASH EXHALATIONS. OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 14/0045Z OBS ASH CLOUD: ASH NOT IDENTIFIABLE FROM SATELLITE DATA. WINDS FL100/150 MOVING N 0-5 KNOTS. FL150/230 MOVING NE 0-5 KNOTS. FL230/250 MOVING E 5-10 KNOTS. FCST ASH CLOUD+6H: SEE SIGMETS. REMARKS: SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS HINTED AT ASH NEAR THE SUMMIT AND TO THE EAST BUT CANNOT BE DETECTED ON THE 0045Z IMAGE...BUT THE LIKELIHOOD OF AIRBORNE ASH IS VERY HIGH. MODEL WINDS INDICATE THAT WIND DIRECTION IS VARIABLE AND LIGHT TO LIMIT OF ASH HEIGHT. HOWEVER ASH HAS BEEN OBSERVED MOVING NORTH THRU EAST BY GEOPHYSICAL INSTITUTE OBSERVERS. A FLICKERING HOTSPOT CAN BE OBSERVED IN MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AT THE SUMMIT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...GALLINA NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2003OCT14/0730Z. NNNN