FVXX21 KNES 091652
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 2006JAN09/1652Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: COLIMA 1401-04
LOCATION: N1930 W10337   AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 12631 FT (3850 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/015

INFORMATION SOURCE: MEXICO CITY MWO. GOES-12. GFS
MODEL WINDS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: ASH EXHALATION AT 1605Z

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 09/1632Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL150 5NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN
N1929 W10341 - N1930 W10337. ASH IS MOVING SW 5-10
KNOTS. SFC/FL220 5NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1930
W10337 - N1936 W10335. ASH IS MOVING NE 10 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 09/2230Z NO VA EXP.

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 10/0430Z NO VA EXP.

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 10/1030Z NO VA EXP.

REMARKS: THE MEXICO CITY MWO WAS INFORMED BY
COLIMA TOWER THAT AT ABOUT 1605Z THERE WAS AN
EXHALATION CONTAINING ASH  ESTIMATED TO FL220. 
IMAGERY THROUGH 1632Z SHOWS ASH SPREADING TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST.  THE ASH MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD IS BELIEVED TO BE THE HIGHER ASH. 
HEIGHT ESTIMATES HAVE HIGH UNCERTAINTY TODAY DUE
TO LACK OF AGREEMENT BETWEEN OBSERVED ASH MOVEMENT
AND MODEL DATA. ...

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2006JAN09/2245Z

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