FVXX20 KNES 050955
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20061205/0954Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: PAGAN 0804-17
LOCATION: N1807 E14548   AREA:
MARIANA.IS-C.PACIFIC

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 1870 FT (570 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/002

INFORMATION SOURCE: MTSAT. FY-2C. GFS WINDS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: SMALL LOW LEVEL EMISSION OF
GASES AND LIGHT ASH

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 05/ 0900Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: ASH NOT IDENTIFIABLE FROM
SATELLITE DATA. WINDS SFC/FL020 MOVING TO W 20-25
KNOTS.

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 05/1500Z 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 05/2100Z 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 06/0300Z 

REMARKS: DUE TO DARKNESS AND THE LOW ALTITIUDE OF
THE PLUME NO ASH CAN BE DETECTED.  IN THE LAST
VISIBLE IMAGERY A NARROW PLUME COULD BE SEEN
MOVING WEST AND DISIPATING AROUND 100 NM FROM THE
SUMMIT.  NO HOT SPOT IS DETECTED AND THE HEIGHT
IS ESTIMATED BASED ON WINDS.  ...SWANSON

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20061205/1530Z