FVXX20 KNES 050955 VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED: 20061205/0954Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: PAGAN 0804-17 LOCATION: N1807 E14548 AREA: MARIANA.IS-C.PACIFIC SUMMIT ELEVATION: 1870 FT (570 M) ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/002 INFORMATION SOURCE: MTSAT. FY-2C. GFS WINDS. ERUPTION DETAILS: SMALL LOW LEVEL EMISSION OF GASES AND LIGHT ASH OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 05/ 0900Z OBS ASH CLOUD: ASH NOT IDENTIFIABLE FROM SATELLITE DATA. WINDS SFC/FL020 MOVING TO W 20-25 KNOTS. FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 05/1500Z FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 05/2100Z FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 06/0300Z REMARKS: DUE TO DARKNESS AND THE LOW ALTITIUDE OF THE PLUME NO ASH CAN BE DETECTED. IN THE LAST VISIBLE IMAGERY A NARROW PLUME COULD BE SEEN MOVING WEST AND DISIPATING AROUND 100 NM FROM THE SUMMIT. NO HOT SPOT IS DETECTED AND THE HEIGHT IS ESTIMATED BASED ON WINDS. ...SWANSON NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20061205/1530Z