FVXX20 KNES 081857
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20061008/1857Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05
LOCATION: N1642 W06210   AREA: W_INDIES

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/623

INFORMATION SOURCE: PIARCO MWO. GOES-12. GFS
WINDS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS ASH EMISSIONS.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 08/1845Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL060 13NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN
N1643 W06213 - N1632 W06446. ASH IS MOVING W 21
KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 09/0100Z SFC/FL060 13NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1642 W06213 - N1628 W06446. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 09/0700Z SFC/FL060 13NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1640 W06445 - N1642 W06213. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 09/1300Z SFC/FL060 13NM WIDE
LINE BETWEEN N1649 W06445 - N1643 W06212. 

REMARKS: A FAINT 13 NMI WIDE ASH PLUME EXTENDS
150-155 NMI TO THE WEST OF THE SUMMIT BEFORE IT
BECOMES TOO THIN TO OBSERVE.  THE GFS MODEL
SUGGESTS THAT WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY OVER
THE NEXT 6 HRS BEFORE VEERING AND SLIGHTLY
WEAKENING THRU 18 HRS.  NO HOTSPOT IS SEEN AT THE
SUMMIT. ...BALDWIN

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20061009/0100Z

Full Size Graphic


-