FVXX23 KNES 161316
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 2006FEB16/1316Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 1502-08
LOCATION: S0128 W07826   AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 16480 FT (5023 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/045

INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. GFS MODEL WINDS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: MODERATE ASH EMISSIONS

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 16/1245Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL200 S0054 W07840 - S0107
W07826 - S0130 W07824 - S0131 W07826 - S0128
W07828 - S0114 W07839 - S0059 W07846 - S0054
W07840 MOVING NW 5-10 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 16/1900Z SFC/FL200 S0056
W07849 - S0102 W07843 - S0129 W07824 - S0131
W07825 - S0129 W07835 - S0107 W07856 - S0059
W07853 - S0056 W07849 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 17/0100Z SFC/FL200 S0056
W07850 - S0100 W07843 - S0129 W07825 - S0131
W07826 - S0131 W07835 - S0107 W07858 - S0059
W07855 - S0056 W07850 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 17/0700Z NO VA EXP.

REMARKS: ASH CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY
MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 5-10 KTS.  ASH IS
ESTIMATED TO NEAR FL200 ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IN
THIS HEIGHT IS LOW.   A GUAYAQUIL SIGMET MAY BE
ABLE TO VERIFY THE HEIGHT IN THE UPCOMING HOURS. 
WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR. ...KIBLER

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2006FEB16/1915Z

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