FVXX20 KNES 071450
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20130307/1450Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 1401-09
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2013/024

INFO SOURCE: MEXICO CITY MWO. GOES-13. GFS WINDS.
NAM WINDS. HYSPLIT. METAR. VOLCANO WEB CAMERA.
CENAPRED. ECMWF WINDS. UKMET WINDS.

ERUPTION DETAILS: ONGOING EMISSIONS SINCE 07/1130Z

OBS VA DTG: 07/1415Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL230 N1930 W09758 - N1904 W09801
- N1858 W09837 - N1907 W09840 - N1930 W09758 MOV
E 15-20KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 07/2030Z SFC/FL230 N2019 W09734
- N1935 W09630 - N1857 W09837 - N1907 W09840 -
N1935 W09750 - N2019 W09734 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 08/0230Z SFC/FL230 N2035
W09736 - N1935 W09559 - N1857 W09837 - N1907
W09841 - N1934 W09750 - N2035 W09736 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 08/0830Z SFC/FL230 N2011
W09723 - N1921 W09643 - N1858 W09834 - N1907
W09841 - N2011 W09723 

RMK: CONTINUOUS BUT INCR VA OUTPUT OVR PAST FEW
HRS REQUIRES FCST UPDATE. GOOD CONF OUT TO 12HRS
BUT DIV OF LOW LEVEL AGREEMENT OCCURS NEAR GULF
COAST INCR SPREAD AND POT. AREAL COVERAGE OF VA.
...GALLINA

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20130307/2045Z
Full Size Graphic


-