FVXX20 KNES 120847
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20130712/0847Z
VAAC: WASHINGTON
VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 1401-09
PSN: N1901 W09837
AREA: MEXICO
SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)
ADVISORY NR: 2013/197
INFO SOURCE: MEXICO CITY MWO. GOES-13. GFS WINDS.
NAM WINDS.
ERUPTION DETAILS: EXHALATION AROUND 12/0801Z
OBS VA DTG: 12/0815Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL220 N1919 W09832 - N1913 W09819
- N1901 W09826 - N1859 W09840 - N1906 W09844 -
N1919 W09832 MOV 5-10 KTS
FCST VA CLD +6HR: 12/1430Z SFC/FL220 N2013 W09753
- N2001 W09744 - N1946 W09802 - N1953 W09813 -
N2002 W09806 - N2013 W09753
FCST VA CLD +12HR: 12/2030Z SFC/FL220 NO ASH EXP
FCST VA CLD +18HR: 13/0230Z NO ASH EXP
RMK: VA EXTDS NEARLY 10 NM NE OF SUMMIT. FCST
CONFIDENCE BEYOND +6 HRS IS LOW AS MODELS DO NOT
PROVIDE A STABLE SOLUTION. ...KIBLER
NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20130712/1445Z
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