FVXX20 KNES 101651
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20181010/1651Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2018/450

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. RADIOSONDE. NWP MODELS.
CIMSS VOLCAT. SOCIAL MEDIA

ERUPTION DETAILS: A EMS AT 10/1545Z

OBS VA DTG: 10/1637Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL250 N1904 W09834 - N1904 W09828
- N1857 W09828 - N1856 W09834 - N1904 W09834 MOV
E 10-15KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/2230Z SFC/FL210 N1905 W09826
- N1856 W09826 - N1901 W09837 - N1902 W09837 -
N1905 W09826 SFC/FL250 N1856 W09659 - N1856
W09652 - N1848 W09653 - N1848 W09659 - N1856
W09659 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 11/0430Z SFC/FL210 N1906
W09825 - N1856 W09825 - N1901 W09837 - N1901
W09837 - N1906 W09825 SFC/FL250 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 11/1030Z SFC/FL210 NO ASH EXP

RMK: VA EM AT 1545Z MOV MORE E-LY THAN NE-LY IN
LATEST STLT IMAGERY.  NWP MODEL GUIDANCE AT FL250
SHOWS A MORE E-LY FLOW THROUGH T+6 HRS.  LATER
FCST PERIOD INDICATE A CONT E-LY MOV AT FL210
THRU T+12 HRS. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20181010/2245Z
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