FVXX21 KNES 070043
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190307/0043Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/202

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
HYSPLIT. ASH3D. CENAPRED.  MEXICO CITY MWO 

ERUPTION DETAILS: VA ERUPTION AT 07/0005Z 

OBS VA DTG: 07/0027Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL240 N1905 W09838 - N1859 W09830
- N1853 W09837 - N1902 W09841 - N1905 W09838 MOV
SE 5-10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 07/0630Z SFC/FL240 N1833 W09816
- N1825 W09810 - N1819 W09826 - N1828 W09828 -
N1833 W09816 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 07/1230Z SFC/FL240 NO ASH EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 07/1830Z NO ASH EXP

RMK: NEW VA ERUPTION SEEN IN STLT IMAGERY MOV
SLOWLY SE TO SSE.  MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A
SLOW MOV CONT TWD THE SSE THRU T+6 HRS.  
CENAPRED RPRTS VA 2 KM ABOVE SUMMIT WHICH MATCHES
WELL WITH MODEL GUIDANCE AND SOUNDING. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190307/0645Z
Full Size Graphic


-