FVXX20 KNES 061814
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190606/1814Z
VAAC: WASHINGTON
VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837
AREA: MEXICO
SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)
ADVISORY NR: 2019/405
INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. VOLCAT.
ERUPTION DETAILS: LIKELY ERUPTION ARND 06/1700Z
OBS VA DTG: 06/1751Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL280 N1908 W09852 - N1901 W09838
- N1854 W09841 - N1853 W09850 - N1901 W09855 -
N1908 W09852 MOV W 15-20KT
FCST VA CLD +6HR: 07/0000Z SFC/FL280 NO ASH EXP
FCST VA CLD +12HR: 07/0600Z NO ASH EXP
FCST VA CLD +18HR: 07/1200Z NO ASH EXP
RMK: LIKELY VA CLD SEEN MOV W FM SUMMIT AT ARND 17Z.
VA IS DIFFICULT TO SEE IN WEB CAM AND STLT
DUE TO THICK WX CLDS. MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT
AGREE WITH MOV OF VA. CONFIDENCE IN EXACT
HEIGHT OF VA AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS LOW. ...KIBLER
NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190607/0015Z
Full Size Graphic
-