FVXX20 KNES 291625
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190629/1625Z
VAAC: WASHINGTON
VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837
AREA: MEXICO
SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)
ADVISORY NR: 2019/468
INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. VOLCAT. SOUNDING. CENAPRED.
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS MOV W
OBS VA DTG: 29/1611Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 N1908 W09858 - N1902 W09837
- N1901 W09837 - N1859 W09858 - N1908 W09858 MOV
W 5-10KT
FCST VA CLD +6HR: 29/2200Z SFC/FL200 N1909 W09901
- N1902 W09837 - N1901 W09837 - N1858 W09901 -
N1909 W09901
FCST VA CLD +12HR: 30/0400Z SFC/FL200 NO ASH EXP
FCST VA CLD +18HR: 30/1000Z NO ASH EXP
RMK: VA EMS NOW MOV W FM SUMMIT WITH LATEST VA EM
AT 29/16Z. MOV DOES NOT MATCH UP WELL WITH 12Z
SOUNDING OR MODEL GUIDANCE. EARLIER VA EMS MOV
SSW AT FL230 AND SW AT FL20 ARE NO LONGER SEEN IN
VIS/RGB IMAGERY. FCST CONFIDENCE AT T+6 HRS IS LOW.
...KIBLER
NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190629/2230Z
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