FVXX24 KNES 131121
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190813/1121Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/699

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. VOLCAT. CENAPRED. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS.

OBS VA DTG: 13/1100Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL230 N1924 W10004 - N1905 W09837
- N1900 W09837 - N1853 W10002 - N1924 W10004 MOV
W 15-20KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 13/1700Z SFC/FL230 N1929 W10032
- N1905 W09837 - N1900 W09837 - N1850 W10032 -
N1929 W10032 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 13/2300Z SFC/FL230 N1929
W10034 - N1905 W09837 - N1859 W09837 - N1850
W10034 - N1929 W10034 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 14/0500Z SFC/FL230 N1930
W10034 - N1905 W09837 - N1859 W09836 - N1850
W10034 - N1930 W10034 

RMK: VA EMS CONT MOV W AND EXTD 100 NM FM SUMMIT.
CENAPRED RPRTS THAT SOME VA EMS ARE REACHING
NEARLY 2 KM ABOVE SUMMIT. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES
A CONT W-LY MOV THRU T_18 HRS. HGT, MOV AND SPEED
BASED ON STLT, VOLCAT, MODELS AND CENAPRED. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190813/1715Z
Full Size Graphic


-