FVXX24 KNES 151312
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190815/1312Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/710

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. RADIOSONDE. CENAPRED. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS IN STLT MOV IN MULT DIRECTONS.

OBS VA DTG: 15/1301Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL185 N1907 W09855 - N1900 W09856
- N1859 W09901 - N1907 W09901 - N1907 W09855 MOV
W 10-15KT SFC/FL200 N1905 W09837 - N1900 W09837 -
N1845 W09900 - N1857 W09902 - N1905 W09837 MOV SW
15-20KT SFC/FL210 N1912 W09946 - N1842 W09944 -
N1838 W10021 - N1908 W10023 - N1912 W09946 MOV W
15-20KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 15/1900Z SFC/FL185 NO ASH
EXP SFC/FL200 N1904 W09838 - N1856 W09836 - N1825
W10016 - N1904 W10024 - N1904 W09838 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 16/0100Z SFC/FL200 N1904
W09837 - N1855 W09835 - N1823 W10022 - N1904
W10030 - N1904 W09837 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 16/0700Z SFC/FL200 N1904
W09837 - N1855 W09834 - N1826 W10023 - N1903
W10031 - N1904 W09837 

RMK: CONS VA EMS SEEN IN STLT. VA RPRTD BY CENAPRED
AND SEEN ON WEB CAM TO FL185 MOV WNW AND EXP TO DSIP BY 
T+6 HRS. VA TO FL210 GETTING MORE DIFFICULT TO SEE
IN STLT AND DSIPG. CURRENTLY 80 NM W-WSW OF SUMIT.  
CURRENT VA MOV SW AT 15-20 KTS AND ATTACHED TO SUMMIT.
LOW CONFIDENCE IS MODEL FORECAST GUIDANCE. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190815/1915Z
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